The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and supporting model consensus establish 27°C as the expected overnight minimum on September 17 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear, dry conditions across the region. This setup aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability on 27°C, reflecting traders’ aggregation of real-time official guidance showing stable temperatures near the seasonal norm but slightly elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Minor deviations remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects or last-minute forecast revisions alter the recorded low, though the prevailing atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
27°C 94%
26°C 5%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
MỚI
$28,218 KL.
MỚI
$28,218 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
26°C 5%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
MỚI
$28,218 KL.
MỚI
$28,218 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$86 KL.
<1%
22°C
$154 KL.
<1%
23°C
$93 KL.
1%
24°C
$56 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,471 KL.
1%
26°C
$7,667 KL.
5%
27°C
$11,081 KL.
94%
28°C
$5,182 KL.
<1%
29°C
$153 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$37 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and supporting model consensus establish 27°C as the expected overnight minimum on September 17 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear, dry conditions across the region. This setup aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability on 27°C, reflecting traders’ aggregation of real-time official guidance showing stable temperatures near the seasonal norm but slightly elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Minor deviations remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects or last-minute forecast revisions alter the recorded low, though the prevailing atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,218Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and supporting model consensus establish 27°C as the expected overnight minimum on September 17 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear, dry conditions across the region. This setup aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability on 27°C, reflecting traders’ aggregation of real-time official guidance showing stable temperatures near the seasonal norm but slightly elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Minor deviations remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects or last-minute forecast revisions alter the recorded low, though the prevailing atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$28,218Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and supporting model consensus establish 27°C as the expected overnight minimum on September 17 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear, dry conditions across the region. This setup aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability on 27°C, reflecting traders’ aggregation of real-time official guidance showing stable temperatures near the seasonal norm but slightly elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Minor deviations remain possible only if local urban heat-island effects or last-minute forecast revisions alter the recorded low, though the prevailing atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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