Trader sentiment for Miami's August 12 low clusters tightly around 78–83°F because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models converge on an overnight minimum near 81°F under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and elevated dew points near 75°F limit radiational cooling while sea-breeze effects and urban heat retention keep readings from dropping much below the seasonal average of 78–80°F. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may briefly enhance mixing or cloud cover, introducing modest uncertainty in the precise nadir recorded at Miami International Airport. With no major tropical systems or cold fronts nearby, the narrow spread among leading bins reflects model consensus tempered by small variations in wind speed and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the recorded low by a degree or two.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 5%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 5%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Miami's August 12 low clusters tightly around 78–83°F because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models converge on an overnight minimum near 81°F under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and elevated dew points near 75°F limit radiational cooling while sea-breeze effects and urban heat retention keep readings from dropping much below the seasonal average of 78–80°F. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may briefly enhance mixing or cloud cover, introducing modest uncertainty in the precise nadir recorded at Miami International Airport. With no major tropical systems or cold fronts nearby, the narrow spread among leading bins reflects model consensus tempered by small variations in wind speed and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the recorded low by a degree or two.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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