Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to partly cloudy skies with a sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms, supporting a peak temperature centered in the low-to-mid 90s on August 13. This aligns with August climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 89–90 °F amid high humidity and typical steering patterns that limit extreme heat. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from these norms, with no tropical systems or unusual synoptic setups expected to alter the thermal profile. The 92–93 °F bin therefore holds the strongest market-implied odds, while warmer or cooler brackets reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing and moisture advection. Updated short-range model runs and official NWS forecasts issued tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 13?
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 11%
94-95°F 10%
96-97°F 4%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 11%
94-95°F 10%
96-97°F 4%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to partly cloudy skies with a sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms, supporting a peak temperature centered in the low-to-mid 90s on August 13. This aligns with August climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 89–90 °F amid high humidity and typical steering patterns that limit extreme heat. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from these norms, with no tropical systems or unusual synoptic setups expected to alter the thermal profile. The 92–93 °F bin therefore holds the strongest market-implied odds, while warmer or cooler brackets reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing and moisture advection. Updated short-range model runs and official NWS forecasts issued tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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