Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
26°C 61%
25°C 11%
27°C 8.0%
22°C or below 3.6%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
61%
27°C
22%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 61%
25°C 11%
27°C 8.0%
22°C or below 3.6%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
61%
27°C
22%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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