Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$363,800 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
1%
October 31
6%
December 31
13%
$363,800 KL.
August 31
$57,346 KL.
1%
October 31
$80,745 KL.
6%
December 31
$32,385 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$363,800Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$363,800Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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