Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 8, reflecting alignment with long-term climatological norms and recent numerical weather prediction outputs from the China Meteorological Administration. August averages place typical daytime maxima near 31°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current model consensus showing stable southerly flow and limited convective activity that should cap any deviation. Official short-range forecasts indicate fine to partly cloudy skies without significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling rain. A shift toward 32°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or delayed monsoon influences, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unforecasted cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated CMA guidance and observational verification later today represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 8?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 8?
31°C 94%
32°C or higher 6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
94%
32°C or higher
6%
31°C 94%
32°C or higher 6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$219 KL.
<1%
23°C
$209 KL.
<1%
24°C
$209 KL.
<1%
25°C
$281 KL.
<1%
26°C
$334 KL.
<1%
27°C
$231 KL.
<1%
28°C
$557 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,392 KL.
<1%
30°C
$4,734 KL.
<1%
31°C
$240 KL.
94%
32°C or higher
$243 KL.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 8, reflecting alignment with long-term climatological norms and recent numerical weather prediction outputs from the China Meteorological Administration. August averages place typical daytime maxima near 31°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current model consensus showing stable southerly flow and limited convective activity that should cap any deviation. Official short-range forecasts indicate fine to partly cloudy skies without significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling rain. A shift toward 32°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or delayed monsoon influences, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unforecasted cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated CMA guidance and observational verification later today represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,648Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 8, reflecting alignment with long-term climatological norms and recent numerical weather prediction outputs from the China Meteorological Administration. August averages place typical daytime maxima near 31°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current model consensus showing stable southerly flow and limited convective activity that should cap any deviation. Official short-range forecasts indicate fine to partly cloudy skies without significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling rain. A shift toward 32°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or delayed monsoon influences, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unforecasted cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated CMA guidance and observational verification later today represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,648Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on August 8, reflecting alignment with long-term climatological norms and recent numerical weather prediction outputs from the China Meteorological Administration. August averages place typical daytime maxima near 31°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current model consensus showing stable southerly flow and limited convective activity that should cap any deviation. Official short-range forecasts indicate fine to partly cloudy skies without significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling rain. A shift toward 32°C or higher would require stronger subsidence or delayed monsoon influences, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unforecasted cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated CMA guidance and observational verification later today represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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