Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
65%
17°C
13%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$295 KL.
<1%
11°C
$313 KL.
<1%
12°C
$397 KL.
<1%
13°C
$258 KL.
1%
14°C
$285 KL.
2%
15°C
$1,853 KL.
19%
16°C
$577 KL.
65%
17°C
$311 KL.
13%
18°C
$111 KL.
4%
19°C
$227 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$222 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,849Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,849Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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