**Trader consensus has converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, reflecting real-time alignment between official forecasts and early observational data.** Multiple model runs, including GFS-based guidance, project a daytime peak near 32–33°C (89–90°F) under mostly clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical September humidity levels around 50–60%. This matches climatological expectations for early autumn in the coastal plain, where seasonal averages hover near 30–31°C but recent months have trended slightly warmer per Israel Meteorological Service seasonal outlooks. The 100% market-implied probability underscores strong agreement across ensembles, with limited divergence in afternoon maximums. A realistic shift could occur if increased cloud cover or a stronger sea breeze develops, capping readings at 31–32°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$32,123 KL.
$32,123 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$32,123 KL.
$32,123 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
29°C or below
$669 KL.
<1%
30°C
$385 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,962 KL.
<1%
32°C
$9,762 KL.
<1%
33°C
$11,699 KL.
100%
34°C
$5,053 KL.
<1%
35°C
$1,022 KL.
<1%
36°C
$397 KL.
<1%
37°C
$575 KL.
<1%
38°C
$230 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$369 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, reflecting real-time alignment between official forecasts and early observational data.** Multiple model runs, including GFS-based guidance, project a daytime peak near 32–33°C (89–90°F) under mostly clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical September humidity levels around 50–60%. This matches climatological expectations for early autumn in the coastal plain, where seasonal averages hover near 30–31°C but recent months have trended slightly warmer per Israel Meteorological Service seasonal outlooks.
The 100% market-implied probability underscores strong agreement across ensembles, with limited divergence in afternoon maximums. A realistic shift could occur if increased cloud cover or a stronger sea breeze develops, capping readings at 31–32°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,123Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, reflecting real-time alignment between official forecasts and early observational data.** Multiple model runs, including GFS-based guidance, project a daytime peak near 32–33°C (89–90°F) under mostly clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical September humidity levels around 50–60%. This matches climatological expectations for early autumn in the coastal plain, where seasonal averages hover near 30–31°C but recent months have trended slightly warmer per Israel Meteorological Service seasonal outlooks.
The 100% market-implied probability underscores strong agreement across ensembles, with limited divergence in afternoon maximums. A realistic shift could occur if increased cloud cover or a stronger sea breeze develops, capping readings at 31–32°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$32,123Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, reflecting real-time alignment between official forecasts and early observational data.** Multiple model runs, including GFS-based guidance, project a daytime peak near 32–33°C (89–90°F) under mostly clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical September humidity levels around 50–60%. This matches climatological expectations for early autumn in the coastal plain, where seasonal averages hover near 30–31°C but recent months have trended slightly warmer per Israel Meteorological Service seasonal outlooks. The 100% market-implied probability underscores strong agreement across ensembles, with limited divergence in afternoon maximums. A realistic shift could occur if increased cloud cover or a stronger sea breeze develops, capping readings at 31–32°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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