Forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles show a transition to westerly flow on September 11, with showers and a high near 17°C after the warmer 24–26°C peak on the 10th under southerly winds. Persistent cloud cover, precipitation probabilities above 80% during morning hours, and sustained west winds of 10–15 mph limit daytime warming and align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (53%) and adjacent 16–18°C outcomes. This pattern matches typical early-September climatology for Moscow, where post-warm-front cooling often caps highs near the seasonal average of 17°C. Updated model runs through the evening of the 10th and official observations on the 11th will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
17°C 54%
18°C 26%
16°C 18%
15°C 3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
18%
17°C
54%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 26%
16°C 18%
15°C 3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
18%
17°C
54%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles show a transition to westerly flow on September 11, with showers and a high near 17°C after the warmer 24–26°C peak on the 10th under southerly winds. Persistent cloud cover, precipitation probabilities above 80% during morning hours, and sustained west winds of 10–15 mph limit daytime warming and align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (53%) and adjacent 16–18°C outcomes. This pattern matches typical early-September climatology for Moscow, where post-warm-front cooling often caps highs near the seasonal average of 17°C. Updated model runs through the evening of the 10th and official observations on the 11th will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp