Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates showers likely on September 6 with a 60-70% chance of precipitation, particularly morning and afternoon, under a marine-influenced pattern that favors cloud cover and onshore flow. This setup supports daily highs clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s°F at Los Angeles stations, consistent with the market’s leading 78-79°F and 76-77°F bins holding the highest implied probabilities. Onshore northwest winds around 15 mph and elevated humidity further limit daytime heating relative to clear-sky climatology near 76-77°F. Updated model runs through early September 5 have reinforced this moderated outcome without significant warm bias shifts, keeping 80°F+ outcomes at lower market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 8%
$13,853 KL.
$13,853 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 8%
$13,853 KL.
$13,853 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates showers likely on September 6 with a 60-70% chance of precipitation, particularly morning and afternoon, under a marine-influenced pattern that favors cloud cover and onshore flow. This setup supports daily highs clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s°F at Los Angeles stations, consistent with the market’s leading 78-79°F and 76-77°F bins holding the highest implied probabilities. Onshore northwest winds around 15 mph and elevated humidity further limit daytime heating relative to clear-sky climatology near 76-77°F. Updated model runs through early September 5 have reinforced this moderated outcome without significant warm bias shifts, keeping 80°F+ outcomes at lower market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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