Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on September 5?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
94-95°F 2%
$26,508 KL.
$26,508 KL.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
94-95°F 2%
$26,508 KL.
$26,508 KL.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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