Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
MỚI
$17,116 KL.
MỚI
$17,116 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
5%
160-179
8%
180-199
12%
200-219
12%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
7%
300-319
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
MỚI
$17,116 KL.
MỚI
$17,116 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
$1,571 KL.
<1%
20-39
$1,571 KL.
<1%
40-59
$571 KL.
<1%
60-79
$3,576 KL.
<1%
80-99
$441 KL.
1%
100-119
$437 KL.
1%
120-139
$284 KL.
3%
140-159
$265 KL.
5%
160-179
$531 KL.
8%
180-199
$88 KL.
12%
200-219
$469 KL.
12%
220-239
$816 KL.
14%
240-259
$1,116 KL.
13%
260-279
$612 KL.
11%
280-299
$167 KL.
7%
300-319
$75 KL.
5%
320-339
$92 KL.
3%
340-359
$243 KL.
2%
360-379
$416 KL.
2%
380-399
$741 KL.
2%
400-419
$673 KL.
2%
420-439
$792 KL.
1%
440-459
$251 KL.
1%
460-479
$244 KL.
1%
480-499
$373 KL.
1%
500+
$700 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,116Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$17,116Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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