Trump's consistent posting volume on Truth Social, averaging 18-20 posts per day (including originals and reposts) through 2025 and into 2026, underpins the 57% implied probability on the 200+ outcome for the eight-day window. This pace aligns with documented monthly totals exceeding 800 in periods like May 2026 and supports ranges above 160 as competitive. Recent platform developments, including the August launch of a paid Truth API for early post access, have drawn attention to his feed without clear evidence of an immediate volume shift, while overall site traffic has declined. No major scheduled events or disruptions in the immediate period appear positioned to alter the established rate, leaving the market's distribution centered on historical patterns rather than short-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật200+ 56%
180-199 19%
160-179 14%
140-159 6%
<20
1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
3%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
6%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200+
56%
200+ 56%
180-199 19%
160-179 14%
140-159 6%
<20
1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
3%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
6%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200+
56%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's consistent posting volume on Truth Social, averaging 18-20 posts per day (including originals and reposts) through 2025 and into 2026, underpins the 57% implied probability on the 200+ outcome for the eight-day window. This pace aligns with documented monthly totals exceeding 800 in periods like May 2026 and supports ranges above 160 as competitive. Recent platform developments, including the August launch of a paid Truth API for early post access, have drawn attention to his feed without clear evidence of an immediate volume shift, while overall site traffic has declined. No major scheduled events or disruptions in the immediate period appear positioned to alter the established rate, leaving the market's distribution centered on historical patterns rather than short-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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