Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in the Ceará Senate race, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling as the incumbent PSB senator seeking re-election. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show him narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a contest for two seats on October 4, with all three candidates clustered within margins of error amid substantial undecided voters. Party conventions in July and August formalized the top candidacies, while ongoing regional endorsements and opposition alignments tied to the gubernatorial contest have kept the field competitive without decisive shifts. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence of a fragmented vote, where small changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among leading contenders could alter the order.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCid Gomes 59%
Capitão Wagner 22%
Luizianne 17%
Alcides Fernandes 1.3%
$11,689 KL.
$11,689 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
59%
Capitão Wagner
22%
Luizianne
17%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Cid Gomes 59%
Capitão Wagner 22%
Luizianne 17%
Alcides Fernandes 1.3%
$11,689 KL.
$11,689 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$8,319 KL.
59%
Capitão Wagner
$756 KL.
22%
Luizianne
$660 KL.
17%
Alcides Fernandes
$435 KL.
1%
Reginaldo
$348 KL.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$422 KL.
<1%
Lino Alves
$399 KL.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$349 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in the Ceará Senate race, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling as the incumbent PSB senator seeking re-election. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show him narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a contest for two seats on October 4, with all three candidates clustered within margins of error amid substantial undecided voters. Party conventions in July and August formalized the top candidacies, while ongoing regional endorsements and opposition alignments tied to the gubernatorial contest have kept the field competitive without decisive shifts. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence of a fragmented vote, where small changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among leading contenders could alter the order.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,689Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in the Ceará Senate race, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling as the incumbent PSB senator seeking re-election. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show him narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a contest for two seats on October 4, with all three candidates clustered within margins of error amid substantial undecided voters. Party conventions in July and August formalized the top candidacies, while ongoing regional endorsements and opposition alignments tied to the gubernatorial contest have kept the field competitive without decisive shifts. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence of a fragmented vote, where small changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among leading contenders could alter the order.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$11,689Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes holds the highest implied probability for first place in the Ceará Senate race, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling as the incumbent PSB senator seeking re-election. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show him narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a contest for two seats on October 4, with all three candidates clustered within margins of error amid substantial undecided voters. Party conventions in July and August formalized the top candidacies, while ongoing regional endorsements and opposition alignments tied to the gubernatorial contest have kept the field competitive without decisive shifts. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence of a fragmented vote, where small changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among leading contenders could alter the order.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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