Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and others shows President Lula leading first-round intentions around 37-46%, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 29-35%. Augusto Cury has surged to 8-11% after late-August television interviews and free electoral broadcasts, placing him third and ahead of Renan Santos (3-7%) and Ronaldo Caiado (1-5%). Cury's gains draw from independents and voters seeking an alternative to the leading pair's polarization, while Santos and Caiado have seen flatter or declining support. Traders assign Cury the highest probability for third place, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 vote, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the order among lower-polling contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAugusto Cury 52.1%
Renan Santos 25%
Ronaldo Caiado 10%
Pablo Marçal 2.3%
$1,008,769 KL.
$1,008,769 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Augusto Cury
52%
Renan Santos
25%
Ronaldo Caiado
10%
Pablo Marçal
2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
2%
Romeu Zema
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Augusto Cury 52.1%
Renan Santos 25%
Ronaldo Caiado 10%
Pablo Marçal 2.3%
$1,008,769 KL.
$1,008,769 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Augusto Cury
$124,162 KL.
52%
Renan Santos
$278,464 KL.
25%
Ronaldo Caiado
$114,464 KL.
10%
Pablo Marçal
$46,854 KL.
2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$67,809 KL.
2%
Romeu Zema
$49,488 KL.
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$48,886 KL.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15,731 KL.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$16,773 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$46,212 KL.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$9,865 KL.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$4,083 KL.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$20,815 KL.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$104,208 KL.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$13,084 KL.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$11,811 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$9,374 KL.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$23,204 KL.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$3,481 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and others shows President Lula leading first-round intentions around 37-46%, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 29-35%. Augusto Cury has surged to 8-11% after late-August television interviews and free electoral broadcasts, placing him third and ahead of Renan Santos (3-7%) and Ronaldo Caiado (1-5%). Cury's gains draw from independents and voters seeking an alternative to the leading pair's polarization, while Santos and Caiado have seen flatter or declining support. Traders assign Cury the highest probability for third place, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 vote, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the order among lower-polling contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,008,769Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and others shows President Lula leading first-round intentions around 37-46%, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 29-35%. Augusto Cury has surged to 8-11% after late-August television interviews and free electoral broadcasts, placing him third and ahead of Renan Santos (3-7%) and Ronaldo Caiado (1-5%). Cury's gains draw from independents and voters seeking an alternative to the leading pair's polarization, while Santos and Caiado have seen flatter or declining support. Traders assign Cury the highest probability for third place, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 vote, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the order among lower-polling contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$1,008,769Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and others shows President Lula leading first-round intentions around 37-46%, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 29-35%. Augusto Cury has surged to 8-11% after late-August television interviews and free electoral broadcasts, placing him third and ahead of Renan Santos (3-7%) and Ronaldo Caiado (1-5%). Cury's gains draw from independents and voters seeking an alternative to the leading pair's polarization, while Santos and Caiado have seen flatter or declining support. Traders assign Cury the highest probability for third place, consistent with these trends ahead of the October 4 vote, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the order among lower-polling contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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