Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData and others in late August and early September 2026 shows incumbent President Lula leading the first round at 37-38 percent, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party placed second at 29-34 percent. Flávio’s nomination at the PL convention consolidated major right-wing support behind the son of the former president, while smaller candidates including Augusto Cury (Avante) and Renan Santos (Missão) remain in single digits despite Cury’s recent gains. This consistent ordering, stable through the start of free electoral broadcasts, underpins trader consensus on the second-place outcome ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlávio Bolsonaro 90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6.5%
Renan Santos 1.7%
Augusto Cury 1.1%
$6,496,036 KL.
$6,496,036 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
7%
Renan Santos
2%
Augusto Cury
1%
Romeu Zema
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6.5%
Renan Santos 1.7%
Augusto Cury 1.1%
$6,496,036 KL.
$6,496,036 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$596,874 KL.
90%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$470,494 KL.
7%
Renan Santos
$1,242,122 KL.
2%
Augusto Cury
$142,790 KL.
1%
Romeu Zema
$380,140 KL.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$810,124 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$173,474 KL.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$143,571 KL.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$274,513 KL.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$218,879 KL.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$205,017 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$452,453 KL.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$228,702 KL.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$207,849 KL.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$20,972 KL.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$750,154 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$142,390 KL.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$35,519 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData and others in late August and early September 2026 shows incumbent President Lula leading the first round at 37-38 percent, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party placed second at 29-34 percent. Flávio’s nomination at the PL convention consolidated major right-wing support behind the son of the former president, while smaller candidates including Augusto Cury (Avante) and Renan Santos (Missão) remain in single digits despite Cury’s recent gains. This consistent ordering, stable through the start of free electoral broadcasts, underpins trader consensus on the second-place outcome ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,496,036Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData and others in late August and early September 2026 shows incumbent President Lula leading the first round at 37-38 percent, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party placed second at 29-34 percent. Flávio’s nomination at the PL convention consolidated major right-wing support behind the son of the former president, while smaller candidates including Augusto Cury (Avante) and Renan Santos (Missão) remain in single digits despite Cury’s recent gains. This consistent ordering, stable through the start of free electoral broadcasts, underpins trader consensus on the second-place outcome ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$6,496,036Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, PoderData and others in late August and early September 2026 shows incumbent President Lula leading the first round at 37-38 percent, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party placed second at 29-34 percent. Flávio’s nomination at the PL convention consolidated major right-wing support behind the son of the former president, while smaller candidates including Augusto Cury (Avante) and Renan Santos (Missão) remain in single digits despite Cury’s recent gains. This consistent ordering, stable through the start of free electoral broadcasts, underpins trader consensus on the second-place outcome ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
52%
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
90%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
79%
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