The Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat—vacated by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid—sits in a narrow swing district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+1. Shah, who narrowly lost the 2024 general election, prevailed in the July 21 Democratic primary and benefits from party infrastructure focused on flipping competitive Sun Belt seats. Republican nominee Jay Feely, a political outsider endorsed by former President Trump, secured his party’s nomination the same day but faces headwinds in a midterm environment where Democrats have consolidated resources around this toss-up race. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow presidential margins and the absence of an incumbent advantage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
28%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,830 KL.
72%
Republican Party
$1,195 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat—vacated by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid—sits in a narrow swing district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+1. Shah, who narrowly lost the 2024 general election, prevailed in the July 21 Democratic primary and benefits from party infrastructure focused on flipping competitive Sun Belt seats. Republican nominee Jay Feely, a political outsider endorsed by former President Trump, secured his party’s nomination the same day but faces headwinds in a midterm environment where Democrats have consolidated resources around this toss-up race. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow presidential margins and the absence of an incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,025Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat—vacated by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid—sits in a narrow swing district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+1. Shah, who narrowly lost the 2024 general election, prevailed in the July 21 Democratic primary and benefits from party infrastructure focused on flipping competitive Sun Belt seats. Republican nominee Jay Feely, a political outsider endorsed by former President Trump, secured his party’s nomination the same day but faces headwinds in a midterm environment where Democrats have consolidated resources around this toss-up race. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow presidential margins and the absence of an incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,025Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat—vacated by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid—sits in a narrow swing district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+1. Shah, who narrowly lost the 2024 general election, prevailed in the July 21 Democratic primary and benefits from party infrastructure focused on flipping competitive Sun Belt seats. Republican nominee Jay Feely, a political outsider endorsed by former President Trump, secured his party’s nomination the same day but faces headwinds in a midterm environment where Democrats have consolidated resources around this toss-up race. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow presidential margins and the absence of an incumbent advantage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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