Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market prices the <88% outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement after the company posted an 82.0% ratio in Q1 2026. That result benefited from lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve reestimates, higher average earned premiums, and expense discipline amid 5.5% premium growth. Persistent rate adequacy in auto and homeowners lines, modest policy-in-force expansion, and stable loss trends have supported consensus forecasts for another sub-90% print despite seasonal storm exposure. With earnings slated for release around August 5-6, the tight clustering around 88-90% underscores how modest shifts in reported catastrophe losses or reserve development could move final resolution within the leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<88% 51%
88%-90% 31%
90%-92% 11%
94%+ 3.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
<88%
51%
88%-90%
31%
90%-92%
13%
92%-94%
3%
94%+
4%
<88% 51%
88%-90% 31%
90%-92% 11%
94%+ 3.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
<88%
$7,419 KL.
51%
88%-90%
$494 KL.
31%
90%-92%
$753 KL.
13%
92%-94%
$439 KL.
3%
94%+
$285 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market prices the <88% outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement after the company posted an 82.0% ratio in Q1 2026. That result benefited from lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve reestimates, higher average earned premiums, and expense discipline amid 5.5% premium growth. Persistent rate adequacy in auto and homeowners lines, modest policy-in-force expansion, and stable loss trends have supported consensus forecasts for another sub-90% print despite seasonal storm exposure. With earnings slated for release around August 5-6, the tight clustering around 88-90% underscores how modest shifts in reported catastrophe losses or reserve development could move final resolution within the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,390Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market prices the <88% outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement after the company posted an 82.0% ratio in Q1 2026. That result benefited from lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve reestimates, higher average earned premiums, and expense discipline amid 5.5% premium growth. Persistent rate adequacy in auto and homeowners lines, modest policy-in-force expansion, and stable loss trends have supported consensus forecasts for another sub-90% print despite seasonal storm exposure. With earnings slated for release around August 5-6, the tight clustering around 88-90% underscores how modest shifts in reported catastrophe losses or reserve development could move final resolution within the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,390Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market prices the <88% outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement after the company posted an 82.0% ratio in Q1 2026. That result benefited from lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve reestimates, higher average earned premiums, and expense discipline amid 5.5% premium growth. Persistent rate adequacy in auto and homeowners lines, modest policy-in-force expansion, and stable loss trends have supported consensus forecasts for another sub-90% print despite seasonal storm exposure. With earnings slated for release around August 5-6, the tight clustering around 88-90% underscores how modest shifts in reported catastrophe losses or reserve development could move final resolution within the leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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