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AS прогнози та шанси

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Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M Обс.

$220K today

$519K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

9%

$7M Обс.

$139K today

$479K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

1%

$3M Обс.

$118K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Обс.

$542K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

52%

December 31

$2M Обс.

$76.3K Liq.

72

Ends in 23 days

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

20%

$442K Обс.

$33.0K Liq.

104

Ends in 23 days

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

8%

$42.1K Обс.

$19.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

9%

December 31

$128K Обс.

$79.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

12%

$293K Обс.

$21.3K Liq.

18

Ends in 23 days

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

6%

$79.9K Обс.

$9.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

29%

No announcement by December 31

$73.6K Обс.

$92.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

15%

$2M Обс.

$52.3K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

99%

December 31

$298K Обс.

$28.6K Liq.

18

Ends in 23 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$857K Обс.

$17.6K Liq.

45

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$376K Обс.

$19.5K Liq.

63

Ends in 7 months

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

13%

$58.7K Обс.

$66.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

2%

$226K Обс.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

1%

$356K Обс.

$37.1K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

$150K Обс.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$213K Обс.

$21.4K Liq.

69

Ends in 7 months

Часті запитання

Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти, торгуючи на теми новин, політики, спорту, виборів, крипто, фінансів, технологій, культури, включаючи такі теми, як AS.

Polymarket наразі має 3077 активних ринків для AS, де ви можете відстежувати або торгувати на прогнози, як-от «Trump out as President by June 30?». Платформа агрегує шанси в реальному часі на основі понад $33.5M обсягу торгів.

Кожен polymarket — це питання «так/ні», наприклад «Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?». Ви купуєте акції «так» або «ні». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові шанси та ймовірності. Наприклад, якщо «так» коштує 30 центів — це 30% шанс. Ринки вирішуються за офіційними результатами. Для подій з кількома результатами, як-от «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?», ви просто торгуєте на конкретний результат, який вважаєте правильним.

Станом на сьогодні найактивніший ринок — «Trump out as President before 2027?», де спільнота оцінює шанс No у 91%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Це усуває шум. На відміну від опитувань чи експертів, Polymarket показує шанси в реальному часі, підкріплені фінансовою впевненістю, часто швидші та точніші за експертів чи опитування.