Ongoing mediation by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar continues amid stalled US-Iran diplomacy after the mid-June memorandum of understanding expired without a final accord on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz administration. Recent steps include Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir’s August 24 Tehran visit and Oman’s foreign minister traveling there August 25 to discuss maritime transit, while US sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports and military activities have intensified. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has publicly backed the prior framework as the best path forward, yet US statements have described direct talks as paused or unscheduled. With the August 31 deadline days away and no confirmed high-level meetings set, trader assessments reflect the narrow window for any new round of negotiations before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$96,959 Обс.
Nick Stewart
21%
Rafael Grossi
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
6%
Jared Kushner
4%
Ishaq Dar
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
4%
Abbas Araghchi
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
$96,959 Обс.
Nick Stewart
21%
Rafael Grossi
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
6%
Jared Kushner
4%
Ishaq Dar
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
4%
Abbas Araghchi
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing mediation by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar continues amid stalled US-Iran diplomacy after the mid-June memorandum of understanding expired without a final accord on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz administration. Recent steps include Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir’s August 24 Tehran visit and Oman’s foreign minister traveling there August 25 to discuss maritime transit, while US sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports and military activities have intensified. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has publicly backed the prior framework as the best path forward, yet US statements have described direct talks as paused or unscheduled. With the August 31 deadline days away and no confirmed high-level meetings set, trader assessments reflect the narrow window for any new round of negotiations before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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