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Економ·Житло

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
Економ·Житло

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

<$1.176M 74%

$1.176M - $1.198M 15.9%

$1.220M - $1.242M 4.7%

$1.198M - $1.220M 4.5%

Polymarket

$46,207 Обс.

<$1.176M 74%

$1.176M - $1.198M 15.9%

$1.220M - $1.242M 4.7%

$1.198M - $1.220M 4.5%

Polymarket

$46,207 Обс.

<$1.176M

$22,613 Обс.

74%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$14,190 Обс.

16%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$2,066 Обс.

5%

$1.220M - $1.242M

$1,991 Обс.

5%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$3,048 Обс.

2%

$1.264M - $1.284M

$1,088 Обс.

1%

$1.284M+

$1,211 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% implied probability for a San Francisco metro median home value below $1.176 million on September 30 aligns with the latest Zillow Home Value Index placing typical values near $1.137 million in early September 2026 data, up modestly year-over-year. Low inventory and AI-driven luxury demand have bolstered high-end sales in San Francisco proper, where medians exceeded $1.6 million recently, yet broader metro figures incorporating condos and suburban properties remain anchored lower amid mixed Bay Area transaction volumes. With resolution less than four weeks away, seasonal factors and any final August releases represent the primary near-term variables influencing these market-implied odds.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Обсяг
$46,207
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% implied probability for a San Francisco metro median home value below $1.176 million on September 30 aligns with the latest Zillow Home Value Index placing typical values near $1.137 million in early September 2026 data, up modestly year-over-year. Low inventory and AI-driven luxury demand have bolstered high-end sales in San Francisco proper, where medians exceeded $1.6 million recently, yet broader metro figures incorporating condos and suburban properties remain anchored lower amid mixed Bay Area transaction volumes. With resolution less than four weeks away, seasonal factors and any final August releases represent the primary near-term variables influencing these market-implied odds.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Обсяг
$46,207
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Часті запитання

«What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<$1.176M» з 74%, далі «$1.176M - $1.198M» з 16%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» згенерував $46.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» — «<$1.176M» з 74%. Наступний — «$1.176M - $1.198M» з 16%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.