**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<$446K 87%
$446K - $454K 6.1%
$454K - $462K 5.5%
$470K - $478K 3.1%
$93,728 Обс.
$93,728 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
<$446K
87%
$446K - $454K
6%
$454K - $462K
6%
$462K - $470K
1%
$470K - $478K
3%
$478K - $486K
1%
$486K+
1%
<$446K 87%
$446K - $454K 6.1%
$454K - $462K 5.5%
$470K - $478K 3.1%
$93,728 Обс.
$93,728 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
<$446K
$35,099 Обс.
87%
$446K - $454K
$16,894 Обс.
6%
$454K - $462K
$7,675 Обс.
6%
$462K - $470K
$6,093 Обс.
1%
$470K - $478K
$12,821 Обс.
3%
$478K - $486K
$5,189 Обс.
1%
$486K+
$9,957 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$93,728Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Обсяг
$93,728Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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