Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.0%
$64,818 Обс.
$64,818 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
11%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
7%
$636K - $663K
31%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
<1%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.0%
$64,818 Обс.
$64,818 Обс.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
$1,096 Обс.
11%
$555K - $582K
$2,516 Обс.
3%
$582K - $609K
$1,036 Обс.
1%
$609K - $636K
$8,914 Обс.
7%
$636K - $663K
$33,899 Обс.
31%
$663K - $689K
$9,103 Обс.
46%
$689K+
$8,254 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$64,818Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Обсяг
$64,818Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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