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Політика·Первинні

WA-05 Primary Winners

icon for WA-05 Primary Winners
Політика·Первинні

WA-05 Primary Winners

НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
Polymarket

$4,039 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for Michael Baumgartner

Michael Baumgartner

$164 Обс.

98%

icon for Carmela Conroy

Carmela Conroy

$694 Обс.

67%

icon for Nate Powell

Nate Powell

$555 Обс.

38%

icon for Andrew Bartleson

Andrew Bartleson

$94 Обс.

5%

icon for Kevin Fagan

Kevin Fagan

$257 Обс.

2%

icon for Ann Marie Danimus

Ann Marie Danimus

$78 Обс.

2%

icon for Bajun Mavalwalla

Bajun Mavalwalla

$196 Обс.

1%

icon for David Womack

David Womack

$154 Обс.

1%

icon for Kyle Ursey

Kyle Ursey

$799 Обс.

1%

icon for Matthew Hayes

Matthew Hayes

$1,047 Обс.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Обсяг
$4,039
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Обсяг
$4,039
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Пов'язане

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Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?

96%
icon for Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?

Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?

98%
icon for Will Mary Silva advance to the general election for WA-01?

Will Mary Silva advance to the general election for WA-01?

59%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«WA-05 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Michael Baumgartner» з 98%, далі «Carmela Conroy» з 67%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«WA-05 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 20, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «WA-05 Primary Winners», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «WA-05 Primary Winners» — «Michael Baumgartner» з 98%. Наступний — «Carmela Conroy» з 67%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «WA-05 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.