**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) returned to full congressional duties on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month medical absence tied to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization that began in early March.** He has since resumed voting, delivered floor remarks disclosing his condition, and maintained an active campaign schedule for his 2026 re-election bid in the competitive NJ-7 district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. Recent activity through mid-September—including votes on matters such as military operations involving Iran and joint calls for investigations into state-level allegations—demonstrates ongoing engagement. Super PAC spending and primary win (unopposed in June) further signal commitment to completing the term through January 2027. No verified announcements, health updates, or procedural moves indicate an early exit. These developments underpin trader consensus around the 86.5% “No” probability, reflecting the absence of credible signals for resignation, retirement, or removal before term end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено10% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 3, 2027
10% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 3, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) returned to full congressional duties on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month medical absence tied to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization that began in early March.** He has since resumed voting, delivered floor remarks disclosing his condition, and maintained an active campaign schedule for his 2026 re-election bid in the competitive NJ-7 district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett.
Recent activity through mid-September—including votes on matters such as military operations involving Iran and joint calls for investigations into state-level allegations—demonstrates ongoing engagement. Super PAC spending and primary win (unopposed in June) further signal commitment to completing the term through January 2027.
No verified announcements, health updates, or procedural moves indicate an early exit. These developments underpin trader consensus around the 86.5% “No” probability, reflecting the absence of credible signals for resignation, retirement, or removal before term end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$164Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) returned to full congressional duties on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month medical absence tied to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization that began in early March.** He has since resumed voting, delivered floor remarks disclosing his condition, and maintained an active campaign schedule for his 2026 re-election bid in the competitive NJ-7 district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett.
Recent activity through mid-September—including votes on matters such as military operations involving Iran and joint calls for investigations into state-level allegations—demonstrates ongoing engagement. Super PAC spending and primary win (unopposed in June) further signal commitment to completing the term through January 2027.
No verified announcements, health updates, or procedural moves indicate an early exit. These developments underpin trader consensus around the 86.5% “No” probability, reflecting the absence of credible signals for resignation, retirement, or removal before term end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$164Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) returned to full congressional duties on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month medical absence tied to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization that began in early March.** He has since resumed voting, delivered floor remarks disclosing his condition, and maintained an active campaign schedule for his 2026 re-election bid in the competitive NJ-7 district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. Recent activity through mid-September—including votes on matters such as military operations involving Iran and joint calls for investigations into state-level allegations—demonstrates ongoing engagement. Super PAC spending and primary win (unopposed in June) further signal commitment to completing the term through January 2027. No verified announcements, health updates, or procedural moves indicate an early exit. These developments underpin trader consensus around the 86.5% “No” probability, reflecting the absence of credible signals for resignation, retirement, or removal before term end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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