Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,037 Обс.
$27,037 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$27,037 Обс.
$27,037 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,614 Обс.
96%
Democratic Party
$5,423 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,037Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,037Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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