Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a westerly flow and approaching frontal system will bring light rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. This produces a range of projected daily minima centered around 11–15°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind speeds near 10–14 km/h, and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 19°C or higher versus 9°C or below captures this model divergence, as stronger cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward seasonal norms near 9–12°C while persistent moisture and clouds favor milder values. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
19°C or higher 82%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
9°C or below 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
39%
10°C
23%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C or higher
82%
19°C or higher 82%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
9°C or below 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C
$0 Обс.
23%
11°C
$0 Обс.
25%
12°C
$0 Обс.
25%
13°C
$0 Обс.
22%
14°C
$0 Обс.
21%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$35 Обс.
39%
18°C
$25 Обс.
39%
19°C or higher
$50 Обс.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a westerly flow and approaching frontal system will bring light rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. This produces a range of projected daily minima centered around 11–15°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind speeds near 10–14 km/h, and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 19°C or higher versus 9°C or below captures this model divergence, as stronger cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward seasonal norms near 9–12°C while persistent moisture and clouds favor milder values. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$110Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a westerly flow and approaching frontal system will bring light rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. This produces a range of projected daily minima centered around 11–15°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind speeds near 10–14 km/h, and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 19°C or higher versus 9°C or below captures this model divergence, as stronger cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward seasonal norms near 9–12°C while persistent moisture and clouds favor milder values. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$110Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a westerly flow and approaching frontal system will bring light rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. This produces a range of projected daily minima centered around 11–15°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind speeds near 10–14 km/h, and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 19°C or higher versus 9°C or below captures this model divergence, as stronger cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward seasonal norms near 9–12°C while persistent moisture and clouds favor milder values. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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