Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
60-61°F 47%
51°F or below 42%
56-57°F 33%
66-67°F 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
51°F or below
42%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
52%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
31%
70°F or higher
29%
60-61°F 47%
51°F or below 42%
56-57°F 33%
66-67°F 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Обс.
42%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
24%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
33%
58-59°F
$27 Обс.
27%
60-61°F
$123 Обс.
52%
62-63°F
$34 Обс.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
24%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
31%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
31%
70°F or higher
$0 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$185Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$185Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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