Recent forecasts from GFS-based models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 near 13–14°C, with overnight readings stabilizing around 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. This aligns with a modest cooling trend following September 9–10 lows near 11–13°C, though still above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.9°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong cold advection expected to push readings to 10°C or below, while clear-sky radiative cooling remains the dominant factor limiting the drop. Traders appear to weight the slight downside risk from any model shift or localized urban measurement effects, concentrating implied probability on 11–12°C outcomes ahead of final overnight observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
12°C 41%
11°C 28%
13°C 21%
14°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
3%
11°C
26%
12°C
41%
13°C
21%
14°C
17%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 41%
11°C 28%
13°C 21%
14°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
11°C
$390 Обс.
26%
12°C
$859 Обс.
41%
13°C
$1,144 Обс.
21%
14°C
$710 Обс.
17%
15°C
$187 Обс.
5%
16°C
$216 Обс.
2%
17°C
$258 Обс.
2%
18°C
$95 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$55 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$50 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS-based models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 near 13–14°C, with overnight readings stabilizing around 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. This aligns with a modest cooling trend following September 9–10 lows near 11–13°C, though still above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.9°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong cold advection expected to push readings to 10°C or below, while clear-sky radiative cooling remains the dominant factor limiting the drop. Traders appear to weight the slight downside risk from any model shift or localized urban measurement effects, concentrating implied probability on 11–12°C outcomes ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,963Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS-based models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 near 13–14°C, with overnight readings stabilizing around 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. This aligns with a modest cooling trend following September 9–10 lows near 11–13°C, though still above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.9°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong cold advection expected to push readings to 10°C or below, while clear-sky radiative cooling remains the dominant factor limiting the drop. Traders appear to weight the slight downside risk from any model shift or localized urban measurement effects, concentrating implied probability on 11–12°C outcomes ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,963Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS-based models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 11 near 13–14°C, with overnight readings stabilizing around 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. This aligns with a modest cooling trend following September 9–10 lows near 11–13°C, though still above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.9°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong cold advection expected to push readings to 10°C or below, while clear-sky radiative cooling remains the dominant factor limiting the drop. Traders appear to weight the slight downside risk from any model shift or localized urban measurement effects, concentrating implied probability on 11–12°C outcomes ahead of final overnight observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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