Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a daily minimum near 14–15°C for Toronto on September 12 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system. This places the expected low well above 10°C while remaining below 20°C, creating the near-even split in market-implied odds between those broad outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any shower-cooled air masses, overnight wind speeds that could enhance or suppress radiational cooling, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows in the low teens, so traders are weighing whether current warm advection will hold or if brief clearing allows faster temperature drops. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around 13–15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 12?
10°C or below 98%
20°C or higher 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
98%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C or higher
98%
10°C or below 98%
20°C or higher 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
98%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
21%
18°C
$404 Обс.
15%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a daily minimum near 14–15°C for Toronto on September 12 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system. This places the expected low well above 10°C while remaining below 20°C, creating the near-even split in market-implied odds between those broad outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any shower-cooled air masses, overnight wind speeds that could enhance or suppress radiational cooling, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows in the low teens, so traders are weighing whether current warm advection will hold or if brief clearing allows faster temperature drops. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$404Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a daily minimum near 14–15°C for Toronto on September 12 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system. This places the expected low well above 10°C while remaining below 20°C, creating the near-even split in market-implied odds between those broad outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any shower-cooled air masses, overnight wind speeds that could enhance or suppress radiational cooling, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows in the low teens, so traders are weighing whether current warm advection will hold or if brief clearing allows faster temperature drops. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$404Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a daily minimum near 14–15°C for Toronto on September 12 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system. This places the expected low well above 10°C while remaining below 20°C, creating the near-even split in market-implied odds between those broad outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any shower-cooled air masses, overnight wind speeds that could enhance or suppress radiational cooling, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows in the low teens, so traders are weighing whether current warm advection will hold or if brief clearing allows faster temperature drops. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around 13–15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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