Current forecasts for Manila on September 6 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing Southwest Monsoon activity, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C, though monsoon-enhanced rainfall can occasionally suppress minima by a degree or two through increased cloudiness and moisture. The tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–26°C and the 33% chance for 21°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates, model spread on shower timing, and potential for localized variations in wind and precipitation. Official PAGASA or airport observations will resolve the market based on the recorded minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 6?
21°C or below 57%
31°C or higher 55%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
57%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
55%
21°C or below 57%
31°C or higher 55%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
57%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila on September 6 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing Southwest Monsoon activity, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C, though monsoon-enhanced rainfall can occasionally suppress minima by a degree or two through increased cloudiness and moisture. The tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–26°C and the 33% chance for 21°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates, model spread on shower timing, and potential for localized variations in wind and precipitation. Official PAGASA or airport observations will resolve the market based on the recorded minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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