Persistent rain and thunderstorms across Manila on September 5, 2026, driven by southwest monsoon flows, are moderating overnight cooling and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C according to official forecasts. High humidity near 90–97%, extensive cloud cover, and light to moderate winds from the west-southwest limit radiative heat loss, keeping temperatures from falling sharply before dawn—the typical time of daily minimums in this tropical setting. Model consensus from sources like GFS shows little variation in expected lows, creating tight market-implied odds between 24°C and 25°C while the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty over localized downpours or brief clearer intervals. Historical September baselines for Manila support this narrow range, with traders weighing the latest observational data and updated model runs expected overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 5?
24°C 44%
23°C 9%
22°C 5%
26°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
-
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
44%
25°C
55%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 9%
22°C 5%
26°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$13 Обс.
-
22°C
$12 Обс.
5%
23°C
$22 Обс.
9%
24°C
$16 Обс.
44%
25°C
$16 Обс.
55%
26°C
$289 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$157 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$40 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$40 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$40 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms across Manila on September 5, 2026, driven by southwest monsoon flows, are moderating overnight cooling and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C according to official forecasts. High humidity near 90–97%, extensive cloud cover, and light to moderate winds from the west-southwest limit radiative heat loss, keeping temperatures from falling sharply before dawn—the typical time of daily minimums in this tropical setting. Model consensus from sources like GFS shows little variation in expected lows, creating tight market-implied odds between 24°C and 25°C while the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty over localized downpours or brief clearer intervals. Historical September baselines for Manila support this narrow range, with traders weighing the latest observational data and updated model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$685Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms across Manila on September 5, 2026, driven by southwest monsoon flows, are moderating overnight cooling and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C according to official forecasts. High humidity near 90–97%, extensive cloud cover, and light to moderate winds from the west-southwest limit radiative heat loss, keeping temperatures from falling sharply before dawn—the typical time of daily minimums in this tropical setting. Model consensus from sources like GFS shows little variation in expected lows, creating tight market-implied odds between 24°C and 25°C while the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty over localized downpours or brief clearer intervals. Historical September baselines for Manila support this narrow range, with traders weighing the latest observational data and updated model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$685Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and thunderstorms across Manila on September 5, 2026, driven by southwest monsoon flows, are moderating overnight cooling and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C according to official forecasts. High humidity near 90–97%, extensive cloud cover, and light to moderate winds from the west-southwest limit radiative heat loss, keeping temperatures from falling sharply before dawn—the typical time of daily minimums in this tropical setting. Model consensus from sources like GFS shows little variation in expected lows, creating tight market-implied odds between 24°C and 25°C while the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty over localized downpours or brief clearer intervals. Historical September baselines for Manila support this narrow range, with traders weighing the latest observational data and updated model runs expected overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання