Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid near 15–17°C on September 12, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge with no incoming cold air masses. Historical September averages place the daily low around 16°C, and current conditions align with that baseline rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential minor shifts in overnight dew points or wind, while elevated probabilities for 14–16°C capture the consensus from observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
11°C or below 95%
21°C or higher 93%
13°C 40%
12°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
11°C or below
95%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
23%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C or higher
93%
11°C or below 95%
21°C or higher 93%
13°C 40%
12°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
95%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
23%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
38%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
38%
21°C or higher
$0 Обс.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid near 15–17°C on September 12, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge with no incoming cold air masses. Historical September averages place the daily low around 16°C, and current conditions align with that baseline rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential minor shifts in overnight dew points or wind, while elevated probabilities for 14–16°C capture the consensus from observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid near 15–17°C on September 12, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge with no incoming cold air masses. Historical September averages place the daily low around 16°C, and current conditions align with that baseline rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential minor shifts in overnight dew points or wind, while elevated probabilities for 14–16°C capture the consensus from observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid near 15–17°C on September 12, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge with no incoming cold air masses. Historical September averages place the daily low around 16°C, and current conditions align with that baseline rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential minor shifts in overnight dew points or wind, while elevated probabilities for 14–16°C capture the consensus from observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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