**Clear skies and light winds under building high pressure are driving trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 10–11°C for London on September 21, 2026.** Official Met Office guidance currently points to a nighttime low near 14°C with partly cloudy conditions and weak westerly flow, while GFS and other ensembles indicate stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies, supporting values closer to 11°C or below. Dew points near 8–10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight limit further drops but create tight clustering around these levels; model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact high-pressure positioning keeps 13°C and warmer outcomes viable but less favored. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the cooler ensemble members, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 10°C and 11°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 21?
Lowest temperature in London on September 21?
10°C 37%
11°C 35%
14°C 34%
9°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
5%
9°C
30%
10°C
33%
11°C
35%
12°C
20%
13°C
15%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
10°C 37%
11°C 35%
14°C 34%
9°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
5%
9°C
$0 Обс.
30%
10°C
$136 Обс.
33%
11°C
$151 Обс.
35%
12°C
$270 Обс.
20%
13°C
$3 Обс.
15%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$0 Обс.
27%
16°C
$0 Обс.
2%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under building high pressure are driving trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 10–11°C for London on September 21, 2026.** Official Met Office guidance currently points to a nighttime low near 14°C with partly cloudy conditions and weak westerly flow, while GFS and other ensembles indicate stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies, supporting values closer to 11°C or below. Dew points near 8–10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight limit further drops but create tight clustering around these levels; model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact high-pressure positioning keeps 13°C and warmer outcomes viable but less favored. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the cooler ensemble members, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 10°C and 11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$560Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under building high pressure are driving trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 10–11°C for London on September 21, 2026.** Official Met Office guidance currently points to a nighttime low near 14°C with partly cloudy conditions and weak westerly flow, while GFS and other ensembles indicate stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies, supporting values closer to 11°C or below. Dew points near 8–10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight limit further drops but create tight clustering around these levels; model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact high-pressure positioning keeps 13°C and warmer outcomes viable but less favored. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the cooler ensemble members, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 10°C and 11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$560Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds under building high pressure are driving trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 10–11°C for London on September 21, 2026.** Official Met Office guidance currently points to a nighttime low near 14°C with partly cloudy conditions and weak westerly flow, while GFS and other ensembles indicate stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies, supporting values closer to 11°C or below. Dew points near 8–10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight limit further drops but create tight clustering around these levels; model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact high-pressure positioning keeps 13°C and warmer outcomes viable but less favored. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the cooler ensemble members, producing closely matched implied probabilities for 10°C and 11°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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