Current forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate overnight lows in London of 11–13°C on September 20, driven by a building high-pressure system promoting clear skies and enhanced radiative cooling under light northwesterly winds. This setup follows recent mild, cloudy conditions and aligns with typical early-autumn patterns where calm nights allow temperatures to drop several degrees below daytime highs near 21°C. Trader consensus around 13–15°C implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging minor uncertainty from any lingering cloud or wind shifts that could limit cooling. Updated runs and official briefings through the day will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 20?
14°C 37%
15°C 33%
13°C 18%
16°C 16%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
42%
15°C
33%
16°C
13%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 37%
15°C 33%
13°C 18%
16°C 16%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
42%
15°C
33%
16°C
13%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate overnight lows in London of 11–13°C on September 20, driven by a building high-pressure system promoting clear skies and enhanced radiative cooling under light northwesterly winds. This setup follows recent mild, cloudy conditions and aligns with typical early-autumn patterns where calm nights allow temperatures to drop several degrees below daytime highs near 21°C. Trader consensus around 13–15°C implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging minor uncertainty from any lingering cloud or wind shifts that could limit cooling. Updated runs and official briefings through the day will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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