Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum of 16°C for London on August 10 amid a slight easing from the current heatwave, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 18–19°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure, where light winds and residual warmth from the preceding 32°C day on the 9th limit temperature drops. Typical August baselines near 13–14°C are elevated by the ongoing southerly flow and limited cloud cover that moderates nocturnal heat loss. Traders weigh upcoming 00Z–12Z model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, which often adjust minimums by 1–2°C as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 10?
Lowest temperature in London on August 10?
19°C 53%
18°C 37%
16°C 5.5%
20°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
4%
18°C
37%
19°C
53%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 53%
18°C 37%
16°C 5.5%
20°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
$229 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$197 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$461 Обс.
1%
16°C
$223 Обс.
6%
17°C
$234 Обс.
4%
18°C
$3,348 Обс.
37%
19°C
$639 Обс.
53%
20°C
$302 Обс.
5%
21°C
$210 Обс.
1%
22°C
$170 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$213 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum of 16°C for London on August 10 amid a slight easing from the current heatwave, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 18–19°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure, where light winds and residual warmth from the preceding 32°C day on the 9th limit temperature drops. Typical August baselines near 13–14°C are elevated by the ongoing southerly flow and limited cloud cover that moderates nocturnal heat loss. Traders weigh upcoming 00Z–12Z model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, which often adjust minimums by 1–2°C as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,224Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum of 16°C for London on August 10 amid a slight easing from the current heatwave, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 18–19°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure, where light winds and residual warmth from the preceding 32°C day on the 9th limit temperature drops. Typical August baselines near 13–14°C are elevated by the ongoing southerly flow and limited cloud cover that moderates nocturnal heat loss. Traders weigh upcoming 00Z–12Z model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, which often adjust minimums by 1–2°C as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,224Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum of 16°C for London on August 10 amid a slight easing from the current heatwave, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 18–19°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure, where light winds and residual warmth from the preceding 32°C day on the 9th limit temperature drops. Typical August baselines near 13–14°C are elevated by the ongoing southerly flow and limited cloud cover that moderates nocturnal heat loss. Traders weigh upcoming 00Z–12Z model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, which often adjust minimums by 1–2°C as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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