Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 10. This equilibrium between warmer (27°C or higher at 46%) and cooler (17°C or below at 43%) outcomes reflects trader assessment of limited diurnal cooling under these patterns versus potential for slightly stronger radiational cooling overnight. Historical early-September minima average 18–20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps variability low. Updated model consensus and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
17°C or below 88%
27°C or higher 85%
19°C 40%
25°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
88%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
25%
23°C
22%
24°C
21%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C or higher
85%
17°C or below 88%
27°C or higher 85%
19°C 40%
25°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
$10 Обс.
88%
18°C
$0 Обс.
22%
19°C
$0 Обс.
40%
20°C
$0 Обс.
21%
21°C
$0 Обс.
21%
22°C
$0 Обс.
25%
23°C
$0 Обс.
22%
24°C
$10 Обс.
21%
25°C
$0 Обс.
40%
26°C
$30 Обс.
40%
27°C or higher
$50 Обс.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 10. This equilibrium between warmer (27°C or higher at 46%) and cooler (17°C or below at 43%) outcomes reflects trader assessment of limited diurnal cooling under these patterns versus potential for slightly stronger radiational cooling overnight. Historical early-September minima average 18–20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps variability low. Updated model consensus and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$101Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 10. This equilibrium between warmer (27°C or higher at 46%) and cooler (17°C or below at 43%) outcomes reflects trader assessment of limited diurnal cooling under these patterns versus potential for slightly stronger radiational cooling overnight. Historical early-September minima average 18–20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps variability low. Updated model consensus and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$101Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 10. This equilibrium between warmer (27°C or higher at 46%) and cooler (17°C or below at 43%) outcomes reflects trader assessment of limited diurnal cooling under these patterns versus potential for slightly stronger radiational cooling overnight. Historical early-September minima average 18–20°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps variability low. Updated model consensus and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання