Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 20 under persistent high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds of 2-3, partly sunny skies turning cloudy later, and low precipitation risk. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26-27°C amid dry, warm conditions with highs near 32-33°C, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus from official model guidance and current surface observations underpins the strong market-implied probability for 27°C, while modest odds on 28°C reflect potential for slightly warmer advection or measurement variance at the reference station. Updated HKO briefings and final 24-hour readings will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 79%
28°C 16%
26°C 7%
25°C 3%
НОВЕ
$13,706 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,706 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
79%
28°C
16%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 79%
28°C 16%
26°C 7%
25°C 3%
НОВЕ
$13,706 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,706 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$41 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$41 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$41 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$806 Обс.
3%
26°C
$3,679 Обс.
7%
27°C
$5,299 Обс.
79%
28°C
$2,736 Обс.
16%
29°C
$41 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$948 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$37 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 20 under persistent high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds of 2-3, partly sunny skies turning cloudy later, and low precipitation risk. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26-27°C amid dry, warm conditions with highs near 32-33°C, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus from official model guidance and current surface observations underpins the strong market-implied probability for 27°C, while modest odds on 28°C reflect potential for slightly warmer advection or measurement variance at the reference station. Updated HKO briefings and final 24-hour readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,706Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 20 under persistent high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds of 2-3, partly sunny skies turning cloudy later, and low precipitation risk. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26-27°C amid dry, warm conditions with highs near 32-33°C, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus from official model guidance and current surface observations underpins the strong market-implied probability for 27°C, while modest odds on 28°C reflect potential for slightly warmer advection or measurement variance at the reference station. Updated HKO briefings and final 24-hour readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,706Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 20 under persistent high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds of 2-3, partly sunny skies turning cloudy later, and low precipitation risk. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26-27°C amid dry, warm conditions with highs near 32-33°C, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus from official model guidance and current surface observations underpins the strong market-implied probability for 27°C, while modest odds on 28°C reflect potential for slightly warmer advection or measurement variance at the reference station. Updated HKO briefings and final 24-hour readings will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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