**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese forecasts, project overnight lows of 25–26°C (77–79°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and high humidity near 90–97%. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, a common pattern in Guangzhou's subtropical climate during early September when average historical lows hover around 24.8°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with 26°C (32%) and 24°C (27.5%) close behind due to minor model variations in timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity. The 33% probability on 20°C or below likely captures residual uncertainty around potential heavier rain or localized variations, though current guidance shows no strong cooling mechanisms like a cold front. Resolution depends on official station measurements, with cloud cover and dew points near 24–25°C expected to anchor the low. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
27°C 45%
28°C 45%
20°C or below 44%
22°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
44%
21°C
7%
22°C
44%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
43%
26°C
32%
27°C
45%
28°C
45%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
28°C 45%
20°C or below 44%
22°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
44%
21°C
$0 Обс.
7%
22°C
$0 Обс.
44%
23°C
$0 Обс.
25%
24°C
$0 Обс.
28%
25°C
$0 Обс.
43%
26°C
$0 Обс.
32%
27°C
$0 Обс.
45%
28°C
$0 Обс.
45%
29°C
$0 Обс.
7%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese forecasts, project overnight lows of 25–26°C (77–79°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and high humidity near 90–97%. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, a common pattern in Guangzhou's subtropical climate during early September when average historical lows hover around 24.8°C.
Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with 26°C (32%) and 24°C (27.5%) close behind due to minor model variations in timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity. The 33% probability on 20°C or below likely captures residual uncertainty around potential heavier rain or localized variations, though current guidance shows no strong cooling mechanisms like a cold front. Resolution depends on official station measurements, with cloud cover and dew points near 24–25°C expected to anchor the low. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese forecasts, project overnight lows of 25–26°C (77–79°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and high humidity near 90–97%. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, a common pattern in Guangzhou's subtropical climate during early September when average historical lows hover around 24.8°C.
Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with 26°C (32%) and 24°C (27.5%) close behind due to minor model variations in timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity. The 33% probability on 20°C or below likely captures residual uncertainty around potential heavier rain or localized variations, though current guidance shows no strong cooling mechanisms like a cold front. Resolution depends on official station measurements, with cloud cover and dew points near 24–25°C expected to anchor the low. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese forecasts, project overnight lows of 25–26°C (77–79°F) amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and high humidity near 90–97%. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, a common pattern in Guangzhou's subtropical climate during early September when average historical lows hover around 24.8°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with 26°C (32%) and 24°C (27.5%) close behind due to minor model variations in timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity. The 33% probability on 20°C or below likely captures residual uncertainty around potential heavier rain or localized variations, though current guidance shows no strong cooling mechanisms like a cold front. Resolution depends on official station measurements, with cloud cover and dew points near 24–25°C expected to anchor the low. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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