The closely matched market odds around 56–61°F reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum at Denver International Airport on September 18, 2026, which official NWS observations recorded as 59°F. Key differentiating factors include radiational cooling rates under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds that limited mixing, and boundary-layer moisture that moderated the drop from the prior evening’s 61°F low. Forecasters and traders weighed model guidance on diurnal temperature ranges against historical September averages near 49°F, while noting the day’s above-normal maximum of 86°F and any localized urban heat-island effects. With the final climatological report now available, resolution hinges on confirmation that no station-specific revision alters the 59°F reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Denver on September 18?
51°F or below 100%
56-57°F 100%
60-61°F 90%
58-59°F 23%
$221 Обс.
$221 Обс.
51°F or below
100%
52-53°F
13%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
100%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
90%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
51°F or below 100%
56-57°F 100%
60-61°F 90%
58-59°F 23%
$221 Обс.
$221 Обс.
51°F or below
100%
52-53°F
13%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
100%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
90%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds around 56–61°F reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum at Denver International Airport on September 18, 2026, which official NWS observations recorded as 59°F. Key differentiating factors include radiational cooling rates under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds that limited mixing, and boundary-layer moisture that moderated the drop from the prior evening’s 61°F low. Forecasters and traders weighed model guidance on diurnal temperature ranges against historical September averages near 49°F, while noting the day’s above-normal maximum of 86°F and any localized urban heat-island effects. With the final climatological report now available, resolution hinges on confirmation that no station-specific revision alters the 59°F reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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