Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 5, 2026, converge on a minimum of 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September in the Anatolian plateau. Official guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold, with hourly data indicating the dip occurring around dawn before daytime heating resumes. This scientific consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 15°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns that reduce nocturnal cooling efficiency, potentially lifting the low by 1–2°C, though current observations show no such deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
15°C 96%
14°C 6%
13°C or below 3.0%
16°C <1%
$1,466 Обс.
$1,466 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
96%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 96%
14°C 6%
13°C or below 3.0%
16°C <1%
$1,466 Обс.
$1,466 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$178 Обс.
3%
14°C
$173 Обс.
6%
15°C
$611 Обс.
96%
16°C
$133 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$97 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$43 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 5, 2026, converge on a minimum of 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September in the Anatolian plateau. Official guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold, with hourly data indicating the dip occurring around dawn before daytime heating resumes. This scientific consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 15°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns that reduce nocturnal cooling efficiency, potentially lifting the low by 1–2°C, though current observations show no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,466Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 5, 2026, converge on a minimum of 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September in the Anatolian plateau. Official guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold, with hourly data indicating the dip occurring around dawn before daytime heating resumes. This scientific consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 15°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns that reduce nocturnal cooling efficiency, potentially lifting the low by 1–2°C, though current observations show no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,466Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 5, 2026, converge on a minimum of 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early September in the Anatolian plateau. Official guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold, with hourly data indicating the dip occurring around dawn before daytime heating resumes. This scientific consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for 15°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns that reduce nocturnal cooling efficiency, potentially lifting the low by 1–2°C, though current observations show no such deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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