**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 5 high temperature centers on 21°C (66.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27%), with 20°C at 9.5%.** These reflect model consensus from sources such as GFS runs showing a daytime peak near 20–22°C (68°F) under westerly flow, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Current observations and hourly forecasts indicate morning readings around 17–18°C rising to afternoon maxima of 20–22°C amid 50–70% cloud cover, moderate west winds (15–30 km/h), and light precipitation chances that suppress further warming. Seasonal norms for early September in Warsaw place average highs near 20–22°C, and today’s pattern matches this baseline without anomalous ridging or clear skies that could push readings higher. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum (typically from a designated station) and any late-day clearing that might allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact peak, keeping the narrow 20–22°C band dominant in trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?
21°C 67%
22°C 26%
20°C 11%
23°C <1%
$10,648 Обс.
$10,648 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
11%
21°C
67%
22°C
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 67%
22°C 26%
20°C 11%
23°C <1%
$10,648 Обс.
$10,648 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$392 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$474 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,141 Обс.
11%
21°C
$3,285 Обс.
67%
22°C
$2,067 Обс.
26%
23°C
$759 Обс.
1%
24°C
$449 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$527 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$165 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$195 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$195 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 5 high temperature centers on 21°C (66.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27%), with 20°C at 9.5%.** These reflect model consensus from sources such as GFS runs showing a daytime peak near 20–22°C (68°F) under westerly flow, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating.
Current observations and hourly forecasts indicate morning readings around 17–18°C rising to afternoon maxima of 20–22°C amid 50–70% cloud cover, moderate west winds (15–30 km/h), and light precipitation chances that suppress further warming. Seasonal norms for early September in Warsaw place average highs near 20–22°C, and today’s pattern matches this baseline without anomalous ridging or clear skies that could push readings higher.
Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum (typically from a designated station) and any late-day clearing that might allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact peak, keeping the narrow 20–22°C band dominant in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,648Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 5 high temperature centers on 21°C (66.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27%), with 20°C at 9.5%.** These reflect model consensus from sources such as GFS runs showing a daytime peak near 20–22°C (68°F) under westerly flow, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating.
Current observations and hourly forecasts indicate morning readings around 17–18°C rising to afternoon maxima of 20–22°C amid 50–70% cloud cover, moderate west winds (15–30 km/h), and light precipitation chances that suppress further warming. Seasonal norms for early September in Warsaw place average highs near 20–22°C, and today’s pattern matches this baseline without anomalous ridging or clear skies that could push readings higher.
Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum (typically from a designated station) and any late-day clearing that might allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact peak, keeping the narrow 20–22°C band dominant in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,648Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Warsaw’s September 5 high temperature centers on 21°C (66.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27%), with 20°C at 9.5%.** These reflect model consensus from sources such as GFS runs showing a daytime peak near 20–22°C (68°F) under westerly flow, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Current observations and hourly forecasts indicate morning readings around 17–18°C rising to afternoon maxima of 20–22°C amid 50–70% cloud cover, moderate west winds (15–30 km/h), and light precipitation chances that suppress further warming. Seasonal norms for early September in Warsaw place average highs near 20–22°C, and today’s pattern matches this baseline without anomalous ridging or clear skies that could push readings higher. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum (typically from a designated station) and any late-day clearing that might allow brief spikes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact peak, keeping the narrow 20–22°C band dominant in trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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