**Lee Jae-myung faces minimal near-term impeachment risk through the end of 2026.** As the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) president elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, he governs with a supermajority in the National Assembly, which controls the initiation and passage of any impeachment resolution. His administration has prioritized national unity, pragmatic domestic policy, and foreign-policy stabilization, delivering approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s for much of his first year despite a modest dip after the June 2026 local elections. The opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or momentum to reach the required legislative threshold, and no major scandals or procedural crises have emerged to shift the balance. Traders therefore assign the overwhelming share of probability to “No,” reflecting the structural and political barriers that would need to be overcome for formal removal before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
11% шанс
$20,368 Обс.
$20,368 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
11% шанс
$20,368 Обс.
$20,368 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Lee Jae-myung faces minimal near-term impeachment risk through the end of 2026.** As the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) president elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, he governs with a supermajority in the National Assembly, which controls the initiation and passage of any impeachment resolution. His administration has prioritized national unity, pragmatic domestic policy, and foreign-policy stabilization, delivering approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s for much of his first year despite a modest dip after the June 2026 local elections. The opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or momentum to reach the required legislative threshold, and no major scandals or procedural crises have emerged to shift the balance. Traders therefore assign the overwhelming share of probability to “No,” reflecting the structural and political barriers that would need to be overcome for formal removal before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,368Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Lee Jae-myung faces minimal near-term impeachment risk through the end of 2026.** As the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) president elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, he governs with a supermajority in the National Assembly, which controls the initiation and passage of any impeachment resolution. His administration has prioritized national unity, pragmatic domestic policy, and foreign-policy stabilization, delivering approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s for much of his first year despite a modest dip after the June 2026 local elections. The opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or momentum to reach the required legislative threshold, and no major scandals or procedural crises have emerged to shift the balance. Traders therefore assign the overwhelming share of probability to “No,” reflecting the structural and political barriers that would need to be overcome for formal removal before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$20,368Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Lee Jae-myung faces minimal near-term impeachment risk through the end of 2026.** As the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) president elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, he governs with a supermajority in the National Assembly, which controls the initiation and passage of any impeachment resolution. His administration has prioritized national unity, pragmatic domestic policy, and foreign-policy stabilization, delivering approval ratings in the mid-to-high 50s for much of his first year despite a modest dip after the June 2026 local elections. The opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or momentum to reach the required legislative threshold, and no major scandals or procedural crises have emerged to shift the balance. Traders therefore assign the overwhelming share of probability to “No,” reflecting the structural and political barriers that would need to be overcome for formal removal before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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