Skip to main content
icon for Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

icon for Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$1,358,933 Обс.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,358,933 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31

$238 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, primarily the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving constitutional interpretation, legislative process, and Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign a revenue allocation amendment. The Legislative Yuan advanced the motion and held inquiries, but the May 19, 2026, roll-call vote ended 56-50 in favor—well short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to proceed to the Constitutional Court. The opposition holds roughly 55 percent of seats, creating a structural barrier that has rendered the effort largely symbolic. No further impeachment motions or qualifying legislative actions have advanced since the May vote, amid ongoing partisan gridlock on fiscal and governance issues. Trader consensus reflects these procedural thresholds and seat math, with any shift hinging on future elections altering the Legislative Yuan balance or unforeseen escalations in cross-party disputes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$1,358,933
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, primarily the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving constitutional interpretation, legislative process, and Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign a revenue allocation amendment. The Legislative Yuan advanced the motion and held inquiries, but the May 19, 2026, roll-call vote ended 56-50 in favor—well short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to proceed to the Constitutional Court. The opposition holds roughly 55 percent of seats, creating a structural barrier that has rendered the effort largely symbolic. No further impeachment motions or qualifying legislative actions have advanced since the May vote, amid ongoing partisan gridlock on fiscal and governance issues. Trader consensus reflects these procedural thresholds and seat math, with any shift hinging on future elections altering the Legislative Yuan balance or unforeseen escalations in cross-party disputes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$1,358,933
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lai Ching-te impeached by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 3%, далі «Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lai Ching-te impeached by...?» згенерував $1.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 2, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lai Ching-te impeached by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Lai Ching-te impeached by...?» — «December 31» лише з 3%, а «Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?» — близько позаду з 0%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Lai Ching-te impeached by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.