South Korea President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pre-presidency indictments on election law violations, corruption, and related charges, yet all five criminal trials remain suspended indefinitely following his June 2025 election victory. Courts have postponed proceedings to allow him to govern, and his Democratic Party has advanced legislation aimed at canceling outstanding indictments. No new arrests, warrants, or active prosecutions have emerged in 2026, and sitting presidents in South Korea historically enjoy strong institutional protections during their term. Traders price the 91.3% probability of no arrest before 2027 around this combination of suspended cases, political control, and precedent, with resolution hinging on any unexpected reversal before the end of his term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
9% шанс
$538,080 Обс.
$538,080 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
9% шанс
$538,080 Обс.
$538,080 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pre-presidency indictments on election law violations, corruption, and related charges, yet all five criminal trials remain suspended indefinitely following his June 2025 election victory. Courts have postponed proceedings to allow him to govern, and his Democratic Party has advanced legislation aimed at canceling outstanding indictments. No new arrests, warrants, or active prosecutions have emerged in 2026, and sitting presidents in South Korea historically enjoy strong institutional protections during their term. Traders price the 91.3% probability of no arrest before 2027 around this combination of suspended cases, political control, and precedent, with resolution hinging on any unexpected reversal before the end of his term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$538,080Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pre-presidency indictments on election law violations, corruption, and related charges, yet all five criminal trials remain suspended indefinitely following his June 2025 election victory. Courts have postponed proceedings to allow him to govern, and his Democratic Party has advanced legislation aimed at canceling outstanding indictments. No new arrests, warrants, or active prosecutions have emerged in 2026, and sitting presidents in South Korea historically enjoy strong institutional protections during their term. Traders price the 91.3% probability of no arrest before 2027 around this combination of suspended cases, political control, and precedent, with resolution hinging on any unexpected reversal before the end of his term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$538,080Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple pre-presidency indictments on election law violations, corruption, and related charges, yet all five criminal trials remain suspended indefinitely following his June 2025 election victory. Courts have postponed proceedings to allow him to govern, and his Democratic Party has advanced legislation aimed at canceling outstanding indictments. No new arrests, warrants, or active prosecutions have emerged in 2026, and sitting presidents in South Korea historically enjoy strong institutional protections during their term. Traders price the 91.3% probability of no arrest before 2027 around this combination of suspended cases, political control, and precedent, with resolution hinging on any unexpected reversal before the end of his term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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