**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no project a daytime high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 21, driven by moderate northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions typical of early spring in the region.** Recent observations on September 19 show highs around 14–17°C (58–62°F) amid gusty conditions, supporting trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, with 16°C at 28% reflecting upside risk from transient northerly flow and 14°C at 14% capturing possible underperformance if southerly shifts occur. Historical September averages near 13–15°C provide climatological context, while short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
15°C 55%
16°C 19%
14°C 13%
17°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
14%
15°C
55%
16°C
28%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
16°C 19%
14°C 13%
17°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
11°C
$6 Обс.
1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
2%
13°C
$0 Обс.
5%
14°C
$31 Обс.
14%
15°C
$196 Обс.
55%
16°C
$6 Обс.
28%
17°C
$0 Обс.
6%
18°C
$0 Обс.
4%
19°C
$0 Обс.
3%
20°C or higher
$6 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no project a daytime high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 21, driven by moderate northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions typical of early spring in the region.** Recent observations on September 19 show highs around 14–17°C (58–62°F) amid gusty conditions, supporting trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, with 16°C at 28% reflecting upside risk from transient northerly flow and 14°C at 14% capturing possible underperformance if southerly shifts occur. Historical September averages near 13–15°C provide climatological context, while short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$251Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no project a daytime high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 21, driven by moderate northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions typical of early spring in the region.** Recent observations on September 19 show highs around 14–17°C (58–62°F) amid gusty conditions, supporting trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, with 16°C at 28% reflecting upside risk from transient northerly flow and 14°C at 14% capturing possible underperformance if southerly shifts occur. Historical September averages near 13–15°C provide climatological context, while short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$251Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no project a daytime high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 21, driven by moderate northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions typical of early spring in the region.** Recent observations on September 19 show highs around 14–17°C (58–62°F) amid gusty conditions, supporting trader consensus around the 15°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, with 16°C at 28% reflecting upside risk from transient northerly flow and 14°C at 14% capturing possible underperformance if southerly shifts occur. Historical September averages near 13–15°C provide climatological context, while short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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