Recent official MetService forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under mainly fine conditions following passage of a cold front, with light southwesterlies shifting northwest and only a low shower chance. These moderate spring temperatures, typical for early September in the region, reflect post-frontal stabilization, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the moderating influence of surrounding ocean waters. Trader positioning aligns closely with this guidance, assigning over 80% combined probability to 13–14°C outcomes while discounting warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model runs and MetService briefings through September 11 will provide the next key data points for any late adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
14°C 54%
13°C 30%
15°C 15%
12°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
30%
14°C
54%
15°C
15%
16°C
7%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 54%
13°C 30%
15°C 15%
12°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$305 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$304 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$0 Обс.
3%
11°C
$0 Обс.
7%
12°C
$2 Обс.
8%
13°C
$73 Обс.
30%
14°C
$167 Обс.
54%
15°C
$61 Обс.
15%
16°C
$0 Обс.
7%
17°C
$0 Обс.
3%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official MetService forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under mainly fine conditions following passage of a cold front, with light southwesterlies shifting northwest and only a low shower chance. These moderate spring temperatures, typical for early September in the region, reflect post-frontal stabilization, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the moderating influence of surrounding ocean waters. Trader positioning aligns closely with this guidance, assigning over 80% combined probability to 13–14°C outcomes while discounting warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model runs and MetService briefings through September 11 will provide the next key data points for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$912Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official MetService forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under mainly fine conditions following passage of a cold front, with light southwesterlies shifting northwest and only a low shower chance. These moderate spring temperatures, typical for early September in the region, reflect post-frontal stabilization, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the moderating influence of surrounding ocean waters. Trader positioning aligns closely with this guidance, assigning over 80% combined probability to 13–14°C outcomes while discounting warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model runs and MetService briefings through September 11 will provide the next key data points for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$912Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official MetService forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under mainly fine conditions following passage of a cold front, with light southwesterlies shifting northwest and only a low shower chance. These moderate spring temperatures, typical for early September in the region, reflect post-frontal stabilization, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the moderating influence of surrounding ocean waters. Trader positioning aligns closely with this guidance, assigning over 80% combined probability to 13–14°C outcomes while discounting warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model runs and MetService briefings through September 11 will provide the next key data points for any late adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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