Trader consensus around 28–29°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum reflects a mild positive temperature anomaly during the Southern Hemisphere winter, when typical highs average 23–25°C. Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime peak near 28°C amid early showers, increasing cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit afternoon heating. Subtle model spreads in maximum temperature arise from uncertainty in the exact timing of any sky clearing, urban heat-island effects within the city, and small variations in boundary-layer moisture. These factors keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied while assigning lower probability to 27°C or 30°C+ outcomes. Updated afternoon observations and official INMET readings will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
29°C 38%
28°C 37%
27°C 15%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
$20,145 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,145 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
37%
29°C
38%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
29°C 38%
28°C 37%
27°C 15%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
$20,145 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,145 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$423 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$528 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,238 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$353 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,182 Обс.
1%
26°C
$2,217 Обс.
3%
27°C
$6,486 Обс.
15%
28°C
$1,097 Обс.
37%
29°C
$3,815 Обс.
38%
30°C
$2,445 Обс.
10%
31°C or higher
$379 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 28–29°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum reflects a mild positive temperature anomaly during the Southern Hemisphere winter, when typical highs average 23–25°C. Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime peak near 28°C amid early showers, increasing cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit afternoon heating. Subtle model spreads in maximum temperature arise from uncertainty in the exact timing of any sky clearing, urban heat-island effects within the city, and small variations in boundary-layer moisture. These factors keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied while assigning lower probability to 27°C or 30°C+ outcomes. Updated afternoon observations and official INMET readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,145Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 28–29°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum reflects a mild positive temperature anomaly during the Southern Hemisphere winter, when typical highs average 23–25°C. Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime peak near 28°C amid early showers, increasing cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit afternoon heating. Subtle model spreads in maximum temperature arise from uncertainty in the exact timing of any sky clearing, urban heat-island effects within the city, and small variations in boundary-layer moisture. These factors keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied while assigning lower probability to 27°C or 30°C+ outcomes. Updated afternoon observations and official INMET readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20,145Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 28–29°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum reflects a mild positive temperature anomaly during the Southern Hemisphere winter, when typical highs average 23–25°C. Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime peak near 28°C amid early showers, increasing cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit afternoon heating. Subtle model spreads in maximum temperature arise from uncertainty in the exact timing of any sky clearing, urban heat-island effects within the city, and small variations in boundary-layer moisture. These factors keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied while assigning lower probability to 27°C or 30°C+ outcomes. Updated afternoon observations and official INMET readings will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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