Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data points to a high of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions favoring peak warmth before a cooler front arrives. Historical records show a September 8 maximum of 29.6°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth expected. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will refine exact maximum readings, with resolution hinging on verified daily high observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 8?
32°C 57%
31°C 26%
33°C 14.5%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
26%
32°C
57%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 26%
33°C 14.5%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$210 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$126 Обс.
1%
29°C
$76 Обс.
2%
30°C
$982 Обс.
4%
31°C
$1,936 Обс.
26%
32°C
$2,513 Обс.
57%
33°C
$940 Обс.
15%
34°C
$220 Обс.
2%
35°C
$141 Обс.
1%
36°C
$378 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$624 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data points to a high of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions favoring peak warmth before a cooler front arrives. Historical records show a September 8 maximum of 29.6°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth expected. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will refine exact maximum readings, with resolution hinging on verified daily high observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,147Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data points to a high of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions favoring peak warmth before a cooler front arrives. Historical records show a September 8 maximum of 29.6°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth expected. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will refine exact maximum readings, with resolution hinging on verified daily high observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,147Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data points to a high of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability on 32°C as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions favoring peak warmth before a cooler front arrives. Historical records show a September 8 maximum of 29.6°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth expected. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will refine exact maximum readings, with resolution hinging on verified daily high observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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