Official National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations indicate a Wednesday night minimum near 73°F under mostly clear skies, light winds, and continued subsidence from the ongoing heat wave, with highs Wednesday reaching 96–98°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep overnight lows well above the September climatological normal of ~64°F. Model consensus and recent observations show no significant marine layer intrusion or frontal passage before September 10, supporting trader consensus around the 76–77°F bin at 47% implied probability. Updated NWS and high-resolution model guidance expected overnight will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 27%
64-65°F 16%
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
11%
82°F or higher
9%
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 27%
64-65°F 16%
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
11%
82°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations indicate a Wednesday night minimum near 73°F under mostly clear skies, light winds, and continued subsidence from the ongoing heat wave, with highs Wednesday reaching 96–98°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep overnight lows well above the September climatological normal of ~64°F. Model consensus and recent observations show no significant marine layer intrusion or frontal passage before September 10, supporting trader consensus around the 76–77°F bin at 47% implied probability. Updated NWS and high-resolution model guidance expected overnight will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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